The Trump Presidency, Part Deux

IMG_2816.webp
 
www.bbc.com

Trump hid in catering truck in secret plane swap over Iran threat, reports say

The US president was reportedly part of a ruse where reporters were falsely told he was with them on Air Force One leaving a Nato summit in Turkey.
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com

"Asked why reporters had been told to lower the window shades on the plane from Turkey, Trump said: 'Because you're probably on a dangerous flight because of the sleazebags we have to deal with.'

He said he had a 'threat all the time' on his life, and that he is 'number one' on Iran's 'list'

'But if I go, you go, right?', he said, adding: 'Perhaps someday you want to change professions.'"
 
www.nbcnews.com

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt to step down

Leavitt, 28, is the youngest person to serve in the role. She recently returned from maternity leave following the birth of her second child.
www.nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com

All the women are gone. Bondi. Tulsi. Leavitt. Oh the chief of staff is still there.

Bring Alina Habba back! You have nothing to lose.

500px-Alina_Habba_District_Attorney_portrait_%28cropped%29.jpg
 

Fwiffo Fwiffo Thruth Thruth
I Fucking Love Australia​

KING CARNEY ACTIVATES KONG MODE WITH ZERO FUCKS
Carney Reads the Clock Like a Pro Wrestler

I Fucking Love Australia Aug 22, 2026



At two minutes to midnight on Friday, Mark Carney did something no Canadian prime minister has done in living memory. He looked at the most powerful man in the world, checked his watch, and told his negotiators to pack their bags and come home.

Not “we’ll reconvene Monday.” Not “talks are paused pending further discussion.” Suspended. Finished. Wheels up, boys, fuck this wanker, we’re going back to Ottawa.

And here’s the part the American press keeps missing, because they’re too busy live-blogging the tantrum to read the room. Carney didn’t storm out. He timed his exit like a bloke who’s read the fixture list.

The Deadline That Ate Itself​

Let’s set the scene, because you need the full panorama to appreciate this shitshow. Trump had been threatening a 50 per cent tariff on roughly $28 billion worth of Canadian exports, due to hit at midnight Friday, and to do it he had to reach all the way back to Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, which means the man is running 2026 trade policy on legislation written while the world economy was face down in a Depression-era gutter, all because the Supreme Court struck down his emergency tariffs in February and told the US government it now owes importers their fucking money back.

And here’s the kicker: Section 338 is a surviving organ of Smoot-Hawley, the tariff law that helped turn a stock market crash into a decade of global misery. His signature economic weapon got laughed out of the highest court in the land, so the spray-tanned Smoot-Hawley cover band went rummaging through the legal shed and came back to play the one record in history every economist on the planet agrees should never get a fucking encore. Strength, my arse. The bloke’s lost his nail gun and he’s out there trying to build a deck with a rock while calling himself a master builder.

And what mighty strategic assets is this Depression-era artillery aimed at? Hockey sticks, cement, tongue depressors, booze and certain kinds of clothing, which means the United States of America has formally declared economic war on the fucking hockey stick. If you wrote that into a satire, an editor would send it back for being too lame.

And one more detail, still hot from the oven: these are tariffs on goods flowing under CUSMA, the trade deal Trump personally negotiated, personally signed, and personally paraded around like a show pony through his entire first term. He is now tariffing his own trophy. The Art of the Deal has become the art of setting fire to your own paperwork, pissing on the ashes, and charging the neighbours for the smoke.

The Bourbon Ultimatum​

Now for the detail that tells you everything about the seriousness of this administration. According to the reporting out of Washington, one of the actual strategic war aims of this entire 50 per cent barrage, the casus belli itself, is that Canadian premiers pulled Jack Daniel’s and Jim Beam off provincial liquor store shelves as payback for the first round of tariffs, and the big fella took it so personally that restocking the bourbon became a term of surrender. The most powerful nation in human history is having a full-blown shit-fit over shelf placement, and half of Washington is nodding along like that’s a normal fucking thing for a superpower to do.

There’s a hundred years of history pissing itself at this one. During Prohibition, hard men ran Canadian whisky south over this exact border in the boot wells of Studebakers, and now the President of the United States has appointed himself history’s first Reverse Rum-Runner, fighting a trade war to force American bourbon north at gunpoint. Al Capone at least had the decency to smuggle booze people wanted.

Carney, to his credit, actually asked the premiers to consider it to help lock in a deal. And Manitoba’s Wab Kinew stood up and asked the question out loud: is putting American whiskey back on the shelf worth signing a deal that accepts Trump’s tariffs are here to stay? When the premier of Manitoba is out-negotiating the entire White House on first principles, you know the intellectual matchup is men against boys, and the boys are drunk on their own supply.

He Said, She Said, Greer Said​

Within the hour, US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer was in front of the cameras getting his version in first, which is always the tell. Watch the footage and clock the delivery, flat and rehearsed, a man reading the alibi before the body’s cold. His story goes that Canada declined to finalize a perfectly lovely deal, hit the Americans with “new demands and walkbacks,” and turned down “the best treatment of any major exporter” out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

Pull the other one, mate, it plays Yankee Doodle. This is the administration that changed the terms at the last minute, according to Carney, fronted by a president who tore up his own signed agreement, and it wants the record to show the other side was unreliable. The bloke who’s spent eighteen months moving the goalposts has the front to file a complaint that the opposition walked off the field, and that takes a special kind of brass neck, the kind you only get from a lifetime of stiffing contractors and blaming the concrete.

And then came the line of the night, from a senior administration official speaking on background, as the brave ones always do. Canada is free to retaliate, the official said, but “escalation is a choice,” and America’s sole interest is protecting American jobs.

Escalation is a choice, says the side that whacked 50 per cent tariffs on cement and hockey sticks at the stroke of midnight. Every standover man since the dawn of the protection racket has run that exact patter, the bloke in the nice suit admiring your shopfront and observing what a shame it’d be if anything happened to it. Coming from a government of actual gangsters it’d chill the blood. Coming from a man with the unmistakable look of someone who lost a fight with a duty rate, it’s fucking karaoke.

The Statement That Was Actually a Shiv​

Carney’s official statement deserves to be read in full, slowly, with a beer, because underneath the diplomatic wallpaper it’s the most quietly savage document a G7 leader has put a signature to in years. It reads like a bank manager foreclosing on a bloke’s entire self-image, and the bank manager is enjoying it.

The numbers land like body shots. Canada’s economy creating jobs at four times the American rate. Foreign investment at a two-decade high, double the nearest G7 competitor. Half a trillion dollars of infrastructure moving, preferential access to 1.5 billion consumers worldwide and on track to double it by Christmas. Every line of it saying the same thing in the same level voice: we counted our money, sunshine, and we don’t need you.

Then the closer: “Canada has what the world wants. And we will not allow any nation to determine our future.”

Gordie Howe in a Savile Row suit, holding the matador’s cape dead steady while the bull snorts and paws at his pile of tariffed tongue depressors. The politest shiv in the Commonwealth, slid between the third and fourth rib without a single raised syllable, and the recipient won’t even feel it until he reads about himself in the papers.

The country fell in behind him inside the hour, and this is the bit that should terrify the White House. Canada is matching the tariffs dollar for dollar, and Doug Ford, Ontario’s conservative premier, a man who agrees with a Liberal PM about as often as Collingwood supporters send Christmas cards to the umpires, broke days of silence to back him to the hilt: tariff for tariff, dollar for dollar, Team Canada more united than ever. BC’s premier went one better with the most Canadian sentence ever committed to the internet, that Canada’s politeness should never be mistaken for weakness, which translated from Canadian means we’ve got our elbows up now, dickhead, skate at us and find out.

Meanwhile Trump’s own US Chamber of Commerce spent the entire week begging him not to do this, warning the tariffs will hammer both economies and jack up prices for American families. His own business lobby, the people whose entire job is barracking for whatever Washington does to make money, publicly pleading with him to pull his head in. When it reaches that point you’ve got all the negotiating leverage of a man face down on the bathroom floor of his own casino, and the casino went broke in 1991.

The Butcher’s Bill​

Let’s be dead straight about what Carney just signed his country up for, because this is no free kick, and any galah selling it as one is pissing in your pocket and telling you it’s raining.

The tariffed goods run to about 5 per cent of Canadian exports, and the hit is tipped to shave roughly half a point off Canadian GDP, landing hardest on Ontario, Quebec and BC. Canadian companies spent the last fortnight shoving product out the door like the building was on fire, because it fucking was, and as of one minute past midnight plenty of them are flat-out priced off the American market. A few have already killed US ordering on their own websites, and a few more are telling reporters, in the careful voice of people trying not to frighten their own staff, that they won’t survive this. Decent operators, blokes and sheilas who did every single thing right, rooted overnight because some thin-skinned cunt in Washington needed his bourbon back on a shelf in Winnipeg. If you’re looking for the definition of a dog act, that’s it, framed and hung in the fucking Louvre.

And the diplomatic calendar is a wasteland. No meetings booked, no back channel anyone will admit to, and a White House purring that the president will be handed “options” if Canada retaliates, which Canada has already sworn on the flag to do. So the escalation loop is armed, loaded and rotating, nobody’s hand is anywhere near the off switch, and the whole neighbourhood is up shit creek in a barbed wire canoe arguing about who’s got the paddle.

The CBC’s business desk rang a senior Canadian business leader on Friday night and asked him how bad this gets. His whole answer was one word: very. Their correspondent put the wider truth about as well as anyone has, that wars of every kind, shooting wars and trade wars alike, are piss-easy to start and brutally hard to stop, and any drongo who tells you different has never started one.

Carney knows every cent of that bill. He’s the one bloke in any room on earth most qualified to price it, he priced it line by line, and then he walked anyway. He didn’t stumble into this and he didn’t crack a sad and storm off, he looked at the whole flaming dog’s breakfast and made a call, cold as a Blue Mountains morning. Which drags us to the question the cable panels are still too busy hyperventilating to ask: why would a central banker, the most risk-literate species of political animal ever bred, deliberately cop half a point of GDP on the chin rather than grind out one more weekend and swallow a shit deal off a bloke who welches?

Now Here’s the Bit Nobody’s Saying Out Loud​

Canada’s own national broadcaster reckoned, on air, within hours, that books will be written about what happened in that room tonight, and they’re dead right. Here’s the first chapter for free.

Before Mark Carney ran two G7 central banks, he was Harvard’s third-string hockey goalie, one game in his entire college career, and his old roommate, who went on to run NHL clubs, still jokes that they like to call it the shutout. People hear that story and piss themselves laughing, but they’re laughing at the wrong bit, because a third-string goalie has exactly one job: he watches, every game and every shift from the end of the bench, studying shooters and learning tells, waiting for the one moment the whole season asks something of him. Third-string goalie, first-string assassin, and the man is not here to fuck spiders.

Carney is a central banker by trade and a goalie by formation, and both jobs are the same job: stay calm, watch the play develop, and price time better than the bloke skating at you. He has priced Trump’s remaining time and found it cheaper than servo sushi.

The US midterms land on November 3, ten short weeks from tonight, and every one of those weeks bleeds a little more leverage out of the White House. Trump’s approval is circling the drain like the last chunk from a grogan in a caravan park dunny. His tariffs are already showing up in American grocery prices, and this new round gets paid, as always, by the American importer and the American household, a detail the red hats still haven’t twigged, bless their cotton socks. His party is staring down a House most sober analysts expect to flip, a Senate map with Republicans sandbagging seats they used to win in their sleep, and a Chamber of Commerce that spent the week on its knees begging him not to do this. He did it anyway, which officially crowns him the Custer of the Club Sandwich, riding into the November hills against the advice of every scout he’s got.

Right now, today, Trump can hurt Canada, no argument. He’s got the pen, the podium, and a Congress with all the spine of a warm meat pie. But picture the same bloke after he’s been belted from arsehole to breakfast in the midterms, staring down a hostile House with the purse strings and subpoena power while every Republican senator suddenly rediscovers a deep personal commitment to free trade. What’s left couldn’t menace a chook raffle: a lame duck in a red hat whose signature is depreciating faster than a secondhand jet ski.

So why the fuck would you sign anything with that? Carney walked out, wore ten weeks of pain his economy is demonstrably strong enough to carry, backstopped his workers with the support packages already rolling, and left the demolition work to American voters, who by every current reading are warming up the wrecking ball with genuine enthusiasm.

And that empty calendar, no meetings scheduled, nothing pencilled in, is the whole plan sitting in plain sight for anyone game to read it. Carney isn’t fleeing the table, he’s letting the clock run because the other bloke’s shot clock is nearly done. Come November, if the map goes the way it’s trending, he won’t be negotiating with Trump at all. He’ll be walking all over that flatulant flubberfuck like a used Persian rug, the kind that’s seen too many spray tans and too much foot traffic, rolled up and left out the front for hard rubbish collection.

The View from Down Under​

Canada spent 18 months building its walk-away power before it walked away: trade partners lined up across three oceans, $25 billion already backstopping affected workers and businesses with more rolling out in the coming days, and infrastructure moving at nation-building scale. When Carney wrote “we will not allow any nation to determine our future,” that wasn’t a speechwriter having a wank. He’d spent a year and a half laying the slab under every word, and you can’t bluff a bloke who’s actually poured the concrete.

Australia, meanwhile, keeps tucking itself in at night with the bedtime story that the alliance will spare us from ever facing that choice. Canada had a signed trade agreement with Trump’s America, mate, ink dry, his own scrawl on the bottom of it, and at midnight last night it bought them a 50 per cent tariff on hockey sticks and a demand to put his bourbon back on the shelf. That’s what a deal with this bloke is worth: the paper, the frame, and fuck-all else.

The old rule said you don’t pick fights with the biggest economy in the world. The Enforcer from Fort Smith just carved the new rule into the boards: you don’t sign contracts with a bloke whose own Supreme Court keeps tearing them up, whose own Chamber of Commerce is begging him to stop, and whose own voters are ten weeks away from taking the keys off him and locking them in the shed.

Canada has what the world wants, and so do we, mate, dug up, shipped out and paid for in full. The only question left is whether Australia’s got a government with the guts to stand up in front of the world and fucking say so.



THE AUSSIE-TO-YANK WORD WIZARD: SAME WORD, DIFFERENT SIDE OF THE SPINNING MOULTON CRUSTY ROCK
Quick warning before you dig in, America. Order an entrée in Sydney and you’ll get a little starter plate, because down here the entrée comes before the main, exactly like the word says it should. You blokes somehow made the entrée the main event, which is the linguistic equivalent of tariffing your own trade deal. So before anyone goes home hungry, here’s the menu for today’s serve:

Wanker: a self-important tosser. The technical term for what Carney’s negotiators flew home from.
Fixture list: the season’s game schedule. Reading it means knowing exactly what’s coming and when, say, ten weeks out.
Show pony: all looks, no substance, paraded for applause. See: CUSMA, 2018 to 2026.
Standover man: old-school Aussie term for a protection racketeer. A bloke who admires your shopfront and mentions what a shame it’d be if anything happened to it.
Brass neck: shameless audacity in industrial quantities.
Galah: a pink native parrot, loud and dim, hence any loudmouth idiot.
Pissing in your pocket and telling you it’s raining: flattering you while dudding you, and expecting thanks for the weather report.
Sheilas: women. Half of this masthead, for starters.
Rooted: wrecked beyond repair. Stronger than “ruined,” politer than the alternative.
Dog act: the lowest thing one person can do to another. Framed and hung in the Louvre, in this instance.
Up shit creek in a barbed wire canoe: in serious trouble, with the added detail that every available option makes it worse.
Drongo: an idiot. Named after a racehorse in the 1920s that ran 37 races and won none, which feels relevant to a bloke batting zero at the Supreme Court.
Crack a sad: chuck a tantrum. What Carney specifically did not do.
Dog’s breakfast: a complete mess. What he calmly priced instead.
Welches: backs out of a deal after shaking on it. The load-bearing verb of this entire piece.
Not here to fuck spiders: here for serious business only, no time-wasting. The most efficient sentence in Australian English.
Servo sushi: sushi purchased at a petrol station. Legally food, spiritually a gamble, and the going market rate for Trump’s remaining leverage.
Grogan: a turd. I’m sorry you asked, and so is the caravan park.
Dunny: a toilet, traditionally the outdoor variety. See directly above, and again, apologies.
Twigged: finally figured it out. Still pending for the red hats.
Belted from arsehole to breakfast: beaten comprehensively, top to bottom, in every direction at once.
Chook raffle: a pub raffle where the prize is a raw chicken. The lowest-stakes contest known to civilisation, and still too much for a post-midterm lame duck to menace.
Hard rubbish collection: council pickup day for busted furniture and dead appliances, left out the front. Where used Persian rugs go.
Collingwood supporters and the umpires: Aussie Rules football’s most notorious feud. Christmas cards are not exchanged. Neither are Doug Ford and Liberal PMs natural pen pals, and yet.
Having a wank: engaging in self-indulgent nonsense. What Carney’s speechwriter demonstrably was not doing.
 
fxh said:

Fwiffo Fwiffo Thruth Thruth ​

I Fucking Love Australia​

KING CARNEY ACTIVATES KONG MODE WITH ZERO FUCKS
Carney Reads the Clock Like a Pro Wrestler

I Fucking Love Australia Aug 22, 2026


At two minutes to midnight on Friday, Mark Carney did something no Canadian prime minister has done in living memory. He looked at the most powerful man in the world, checked his watch, and told his negotiators to pack their bags and come home.

Not “we’ll reconvene Monday.” Not “talks are paused pending further discussion.” Suspended. Finished. Wheels up, boys, fuck this wanker, we’re going back to Ottawa.

And here’s the part the American press keeps missing, because they’re too busy live-blogging the tantrum to read the room. Carney didn’t storm out. He timed his exit like a bloke who’s read the fixture list.
Click to expand...

On the topic of steel alone, which some unnamed steel executive leaked out in the final 24 hours:

You have a quota of 4m tons steel to export to the States tariffed at 25% (not 0%), then over 4m you are back at 50%. Canada drops counter tariffs on US steel. Canada cannot buy or suppresses buying from third party countries (i.e. China).

Just to get your seat of the table to talk to the States about steel: we dropped the digital services tax and the provinces need to all stock US liquor again amongst other concessions. Greer says "Buy Canadian" is an irritant. What's next? We stock US liquor, it's unsold and you measure how much we consume?

This is no different than negotiating with my brother's 5 year old kid on Sundays - I want 6 more grapes. I want 1 more grape. I want all the grapes. I'm taking the grapes home with me. I win, you lose everything.

PM Carney has a lot more patience than me because when I heard Lutnick was involved on Monday you knew it was going to shit. Maybe if it was Bessent you'd be offered a bone.

Meanwhile - and I think I posted it here - in June the US ambassador here says annexation is absolutely a topic the PM should talk to the President about. Who the fuck does that in someone else's country? It's shit Russia pulls off with Ukraine.

There's a petition going around to expel him. That should be part of our response. Tariff for tariff, dollar for dollar. We should put an export tax on the things they hold dear - oil and potash. All the yanks who are culpable enablers down there (red and blue states) can stew in their own shit because if they push us we'll light the largest fucking fire in their backyard that Iran will be a dream to deal with.
 
fxh said:

Fwiffo Fwiffo Thruth Thruth ​

I Fucking Love Australia​

KING CARNEY ACTIVATES KONG MODE WITH ZERO FUCKS
Carney Reads the Clock Like a Pro Wrestler

I Fucking Love Australia Aug 22, 2026


At two minutes to midnight on Friday, Mark Carney did something no Canadian prime minister has done in living memory. He looked at the most powerful man in the world, checked his watch, and told his negotiators to pack their bags and come home.

Not “we’ll reconvene Monday.” Not “talks are paused pending further discussion.” Suspended. Finished. Wheels up, boys, fuck this wanker, we’re going back to Ottawa.

And here’s the part the American press keeps missing, because they’re too busy live-blogging the tantrum to read the room. Carney didn’t storm out. He timed his exit like a bloke who’s read the fixture list.

The Deadline That Ate Itself​

Let’s set the scene, because you need the full panorama to appreciate this shitshow. Trump had been threatening a 50 per cent tariff on roughly $28 billion worth of Canadian exports, due to hit at midnight Friday, and to do it he had to reach all the way back to Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, which means the man is running 2026 trade policy on legislation written while the world economy was face down in a Depression-era gutter, all because the Supreme Court struck down his emergency tariffs in February and told the US government it now owes importers their fucking money back.

And here’s the kicker: Section 338 is a surviving organ of Smoot-Hawley, the tariff law that helped turn a stock market crash into a decade of global misery. His signature economic weapon got laughed out of the highest court in the land, so the spray-tanned Smoot-Hawley cover band went rummaging through the legal shed and came back to play the one record in history every economist on the planet agrees should never get a fucking encore. Strength, my arse. The bloke’s lost his nail gun and he’s out there trying to build a deck with a rock while calling himself a master builder.

And what mighty strategic assets is this Depression-era artillery aimed at? Hockey sticks, cement, tongue depressors, booze and certain kinds of clothing, which means the United States of America has formally declared economic war on the fucking hockey stick. If you wrote that into a satire, an editor would send it back for being too lame.

And one more detail, still hot from the oven: these are tariffs on goods flowing under CUSMA, the trade deal Trump personally negotiated, personally signed, and personally paraded around like a show pony through his entire first term. He is now tariffing his own trophy. The Art of the Deal has become the art of setting fire to your own paperwork, pissing on the ashes, and charging the neighbours for the smoke.

The Bourbon Ultimatum​

Now for the detail that tells you everything about the seriousness of this administration. According to the reporting out of Washington, one of the actual strategic war aims of this entire 50 per cent barrage, the casus belli itself, is that Canadian premiers pulled Jack Daniel’s and Jim Beam off provincial liquor store shelves as payback for the first round of tariffs, and the big fella took it so personally that restocking the bourbon became a term of surrender. The most powerful nation in human history is having a full-blown shit-fit over shelf placement, and half of Washington is nodding along like that’s a normal fucking thing for a superpower to do.

There’s a hundred years of history pissing itself at this one. During Prohibition, hard men ran Canadian whisky south over this exact border in the boot wells of Studebakers, and now the President of the United States has appointed himself history’s first Reverse Rum-Runner, fighting a trade war to force American bourbon north at gunpoint. Al Capone at least had the decency to smuggle booze people wanted.

Carney, to his credit, actually asked the premiers to consider it to help lock in a deal. And Manitoba’s Wab Kinew stood up and asked the question out loud: is putting American whiskey back on the shelf worth signing a deal that accepts Trump’s tariffs are here to stay? When the premier of Manitoba is out-negotiating the entire White House on first principles, you know the intellectual matchup is men against boys, and the boys are drunk on their own supply.

He Said, She Said, Greer Said​

Within the hour, US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer was in front of the cameras getting his version in first, which is always the tell. Watch the footage and clock the delivery, flat and rehearsed, a man reading the alibi before the body’s cold. His story goes that Canada declined to finalize a perfectly lovely deal, hit the Americans with “new demands and walkbacks,” and turned down “the best treatment of any major exporter” out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

Pull the other one, mate, it plays Yankee Doodle. This is the administration that changed the terms at the last minute, according to Carney, fronted by a president who tore up his own signed agreement, and it wants the record to show the other side was unreliable. The bloke who’s spent eighteen months moving the goalposts has the front to file a complaint that the opposition walked off the field, and that takes a special kind of brass neck, the kind you only get from a lifetime of stiffing contractors and blaming the concrete.

And then came the line of the night, from a senior administration official speaking on background, as the brave ones always do. Canada is free to retaliate, the official said, but “escalation is a choice,” and America’s sole interest is protecting American jobs.

Escalation is a choice, says the side that whacked 50 per cent tariffs on cement and hockey sticks at the stroke of midnight. Every standover man since the dawn of the protection racket has run that exact patter, the bloke in the nice suit admiring your shopfront and observing what a shame it’d be if anything happened to it. Coming from a government of actual gangsters it’d chill the blood. Coming from a man with the unmistakable look of someone who lost a fight with a duty rate, it’s fucking karaoke.

The Statement That Was Actually a Shiv​

Carney’s official statement deserves to be read in full, slowly, with a beer, because underneath the diplomatic wallpaper it’s the most quietly savage document a G7 leader has put a signature to in years. It reads like a bank manager foreclosing on a bloke’s entire self-image, and the bank manager is enjoying it.

The numbers land like body shots. Canada’s economy creating jobs at four times the American rate. Foreign investment at a two-decade high, double the nearest G7 competitor. Half a trillion dollars of infrastructure moving, preferential access to 1.5 billion consumers worldwide and on track to double it by Christmas. Every line of it saying the same thing in the same level voice: we counted our money, sunshine, and we don’t need you.

Then the closer: “Canada has what the world wants. And we will not allow any nation to determine our future.”

Gordie Howe in a Savile Row suit, holding the matador’s cape dead steady while the bull snorts and paws at his pile of tariffed tongue depressors. The politest shiv in the Commonwealth, slid between the third and fourth rib without a single raised syllable, and the recipient won’t even feel it until he reads about himself in the papers.

The country fell in behind him inside the hour, and this is the bit that should terrify the White House. Canada is matching the tariffs dollar for dollar, and Doug Ford, Ontario’s conservative premier, a man who agrees with a Liberal PM about as often as Collingwood supporters send Christmas cards to the umpires, broke days of silence to back him to the hilt: tariff for tariff, dollar for dollar, Team Canada more united than ever. BC’s premier went one better with the most Canadian sentence ever committed to the internet, that Canada’s politeness should never be mistaken for weakness, which translated from Canadian means we’ve got our elbows up now, dickhead, skate at us and find out.

Meanwhile Trump’s own US Chamber of Commerce spent the entire week begging him not to do this, warning the tariffs will hammer both economies and jack up prices for American families. His own business lobby, the people whose entire job is barracking for whatever Washington does to make money, publicly pleading with him to pull his head in. When it reaches that point you’ve got all the negotiating leverage of a man face down on the bathroom floor of his own casino, and the casino went broke in 1991.

The Butcher’s Bill​

Let’s be dead straight about what Carney just signed his country up for, because this is no free kick, and any galah selling it as one is pissing in your pocket and telling you it’s raining.

The tariffed goods run to about 5 per cent of Canadian exports, and the hit is tipped to shave roughly half a point off Canadian GDP, landing hardest on Ontario, Quebec and BC. Canadian companies spent the last fortnight shoving product out the door like the building was on fire, because it fucking was, and as of one minute past midnight plenty of them are flat-out priced off the American market. A few have already killed US ordering on their own websites, and a few more are telling reporters, in the careful voice of people trying not to frighten their own staff, that they won’t survive this. Decent operators, blokes and sheilas who did every single thing right, rooted overnight because some thin-skinned cunt in Washington needed his bourbon back on a shelf in Winnipeg. If you’re looking for the definition of a dog act, that’s it, framed and hung in the fucking Louvre.

And the diplomatic calendar is a wasteland. No meetings booked, no back channel anyone will admit to, and a White House purring that the president will be handed “options” if Canada retaliates, which Canada has already sworn on the flag to do. So the escalation loop is armed, loaded and rotating, nobody’s hand is anywhere near the off switch, and the whole neighbourhood is up shit creek in a barbed wire canoe arguing about who’s got the paddle.

The CBC’s business desk rang a senior Canadian business leader on Friday night and asked him how bad this gets. His whole answer was one word: very. Their correspondent put the wider truth about as well as anyone has, that wars of every kind, shooting wars and trade wars alike, are piss-easy to start and brutally hard to stop, and any drongo who tells you different has never started one.

Carney knows every cent of that bill. He’s the one bloke in any room on earth most qualified to price it, he priced it line by line, and then he walked anyway. He didn’t stumble into this and he didn’t crack a sad and storm off, he looked at the whole flaming dog’s breakfast and made a call, cold as a Blue Mountains morning. Which drags us to the question the cable panels are still too busy hyperventilating to ask: why would a central banker, the most risk-literate species of political animal ever bred, deliberately cop half a point of GDP on the chin rather than grind out one more weekend and swallow a shit deal off a bloke who welches?

Now Here’s the Bit Nobody’s Saying Out Loud​

Canada’s own national broadcaster reckoned, on air, within hours, that books will be written about what happened in that room tonight, and they’re dead right. Here’s the first chapter for free.

Before Mark Carney ran two G7 central banks, he was Harvard’s third-string hockey goalie, one game in his entire college career, and his old roommate, who went on to run NHL clubs, still jokes that they like to call it the shutout. People hear that story and piss themselves laughing, but they’re laughing at the wrong bit, because a third-string goalie has exactly one job: he watches, every game and every shift from the end of the bench, studying shooters and learning tells, waiting for the one moment the whole season asks something of him. Third-string goalie, first-string assassin, and the man is not here to fuck spiders.

Carney is a central banker by trade and a goalie by formation, and both jobs are the same job: stay calm, watch the play develop, and price time better than the bloke skating at you. He has priced Trump’s remaining time and found it cheaper than servo sushi.

The US midterms land on November 3, ten short weeks from tonight, and every one of those weeks bleeds a little more leverage out of the White House. Trump’s approval is circling the drain like the last chunk from a grogan in a caravan park dunny. His tariffs are already showing up in American grocery prices, and this new round gets paid, as always, by the American importer and the American household, a detail the red hats still haven’t twigged, bless their cotton socks. His party is staring down a House most sober analysts expect to flip, a Senate map with Republicans sandbagging seats they used to win in their sleep, and a Chamber of Commerce that spent the week on its knees begging him not to do this. He did it anyway, which officially crowns him the Custer of the Club Sandwich, riding into the November hills against the advice of every scout he’s got.

Right now, today, Trump can hurt Canada, no argument. He’s got the pen, the podium, and a Congress with all the spine of a warm meat pie. But picture the same bloke after he’s been belted from arsehole to breakfast in the midterms, staring down a hostile House with the purse strings and subpoena power while every Republican senator suddenly rediscovers a deep personal commitment to free trade. What’s left couldn’t menace a chook raffle: a lame duck in a red hat whose signature is depreciating faster than a secondhand jet ski.

So why the fuck would you sign anything with that? Carney walked out, wore ten weeks of pain his economy is demonstrably strong enough to carry, backstopped his workers with the support packages already rolling, and left the demolition work to American voters, who by every current reading are warming up the wrecking ball with genuine enthusiasm.

And that empty calendar, no meetings scheduled, nothing pencilled in, is the whole plan sitting in plain sight for anyone game to read it. Carney isn’t fleeing the table, he’s letting the clock run because the other bloke’s shot clock is nearly done. Come November, if the map goes the way it’s trending, he won’t be negotiating with Trump at all. He’ll be walking all over that flatulant flubberfuck like a used Persian rug, the kind that’s seen too many spray tans and too much foot traffic, rolled up and left out the front for hard rubbish collection.

The View from Down Under​

Canada spent 18 months building its walk-away power before it walked away: trade partners lined up across three oceans, $25 billion already backstopping affected workers and businesses with more rolling out in the coming days, and infrastructure moving at nation-building scale. When Carney wrote “we will not allow any nation to determine our future,” that wasn’t a speechwriter having a wank. He’d spent a year and a half laying the slab under every word, and you can’t bluff a bloke who’s actually poured the concrete.

Australia, meanwhile, keeps tucking itself in at night with the bedtime story that the alliance will spare us from ever facing that choice. Canada had a signed trade agreement with Trump’s America, mate, ink dry, his own scrawl on the bottom of it, and at midnight last night it bought them a 50 per cent tariff on hockey sticks and a demand to put his bourbon back on the shelf. That’s what a deal with this bloke is worth: the paper, the frame, and fuck-all else.

The old rule said you don’t pick fights with the biggest economy in the world. The Enforcer from Fort Smith just carved the new rule into the boards: you don’t sign contracts with a bloke whose own Supreme Court keeps tearing them up, whose own Chamber of Commerce is begging him to stop, and whose own voters are ten weeks away from taking the keys off him and locking them in the shed.

Canada has what the world wants, and so do we, mate, dug up, shipped out and paid for in full. The only question left is whether Australia’s got a government with the guts to stand up in front of the world and fucking say so.



THE AUSSIE-TO-YANK WORD WIZARD: SAME WORD, DIFFERENT SIDE OF THE SPINNING MOULTON CRUSTY ROCK
Quick warning before you dig in, America. Order an entrée in Sydney and you’ll get a little starter plate, because down here the entrée comes before the main, exactly like the word says it should. You blokes somehow made the entrée the main event, which is the linguistic equivalent of tariffing your own trade deal. So before anyone goes home hungry, here’s the menu for today’s serve:

Wanker: a self-important tosser. The technical term for what Carney’s negotiators flew home from.
Fixture list: the season’s game schedule. Reading it means knowing exactly what’s coming and when, say, ten weeks out.
Show pony: all looks, no substance, paraded for applause. See: CUSMA, 2018 to 2026.
Standover man: old-school Aussie term for a protection racketeer. A bloke who admires your shopfront and mentions what a shame it’d be if anything happened to it.
Brass neck: shameless audacity in industrial quantities.
Galah: a pink native parrot, loud and dim, hence any loudmouth idiot.
Pissing in your pocket and telling you it’s raining: flattering you while dudding you, and expecting thanks for the weather report.
Sheilas: women. Half of this masthead, for starters.
Rooted: wrecked beyond repair. Stronger than “ruined,” politer than the alternative.
Dog act: the lowest thing one person can do to another. Framed and hung in the Louvre, in this instance.
Up shit creek in a barbed wire canoe: in serious trouble, with the added detail that every available option makes it worse.
Drongo: an idiot. Named after a racehorse in the 1920s that ran 37 races and won none, which feels relevant to a bloke batting zero at the Supreme Court.
Crack a sad: chuck a tantrum. What Carney specifically did not do.
Dog’s breakfast: a complete mess. What he calmly priced instead.
Welches: backs out of a deal after shaking on it. The load-bearing verb of this entire piece.
Not here to fuck spiders: here for serious business only, no time-wasting. The most efficient sentence in Australian English.
Servo sushi: sushi purchased at a petrol station. Legally food, spiritually a gamble, and the going market rate for Trump’s remaining leverage.
Grogan: a turd. I’m sorry you asked, and so is the caravan park.
Dunny: a toilet, traditionally the outdoor variety. See directly above, and again, apologies.
Twigged: finally figured it out. Still pending for the red hats.
Belted from arsehole to breakfast: beaten comprehensively, top to bottom, in every direction at once.
Chook raffle: a pub raffle where the prize is a raw chicken. The lowest-stakes contest known to civilisation, and still too much for a post-midterm lame duck to menace.
Hard rubbish collection: council pickup day for busted furniture and dead appliances, left out the front. Where used Persian rugs go.
Collingwood supporters and the umpires: Aussie Rules football’s most notorious feud. Christmas cards are not exchanged. Neither are Doug Ford and Liberal PMs natural pen pals, and yet.
Having a wank: engaging in self-indulgent nonsense. What Carney’s speechwriter demonstrably was not doing.
Click to expand...
Good on Carney,

You cannot negotiate with American exceptionalism nor ignorance, so you cannot expect the US to respect trade agreements now and forevermore.

His tripartite free trade deal with Canada and Mexico was trumpeted as a good deal after the first shitty iteration. Now it’s not. Ok, fine, we don’t need another one.

But that is the price Canada is finally paying for trusting the US to do predictable and reasonable things for the ease of reasonably unfettered trade.

Canada has needed a wake-up call for a long time and I hope this is finally it.

Trump doesn’t want “Canadian” vehicles despite Ford building their first car in Canada in 1907. The Autopact carved out in the 60’s and finally NAFTA.

He doesn’t want tongue depressors or hockey sticks either. Nationalize the US car factories and pivot to making other vehicles. Tanks and the like. They are all US companies making cars for the US market primarily.

Stop taking the easy way of exporting 90%+ of our oil to the US. Build the pipelines and oil and LNG export terminals to elsewhere.

Give Trump his penetration of the Canadian market for dairy. No one wants US milk and cheese and only the poorz will buy it.

Lumber has always been a sore spot and will always be.

Reduce the number of F35s in procurement and run a split fleet of F35s with Saabs. Canada is not on the frontlines of any air war as it is.

Put US booze back on the shelf. Canadians are generally pussies to resist US booze but I think consumption rates will not rise to pre-ban levels.

His actions need to be followed up by shifting markets away from the US. Not entirely, but stop thinking anything done by the US is for our benefit.
 
Thruth said:
Trump doesn’t want “Canadian” vehicles despite Ford building their first car in Canada in 1907. The Autopact carved out in the 60’s and finally NAFTA.
Click to expand...

They also wanted to exclude from reduced tariffs any models that we were building like the Ford Fxxx trucks in Oakville, Ont.

That's if manufacturers are even making it here anymore like the tax payer funded Stellantis factory refurbishment.

The most egregious of the points that came out yesterday was going to someone's country and not wanting to do business in one of the country's official languages.

Thruth said:
Lumber has always been a sore spot and will always be.
Click to expand...

Softwood lumber disputes have been happening since before Mulroney walked out with NAFTA.
 
Fwiffo said:
They also wanted to exclude from reduced tariffs any models that we were building like the Ford Fxxx trucks in Oakville, Ont.

That's if manufacturers are even making it here anymore like the tax payer funded Stellantis factory refurbishment.

The most egregious of the points that came out yesterday was going to someone's country and not wanting to do business in one of the country's official languages.



Softwood lumber disputes have been happening since before Mulroney walked out with NAFTA.
Click to expand...
Seeking to direct control over who Canada trades with is insulting and disresptful.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 3 (members: 0, guests: 3)
Back
Top Bottom