The Next Election, Political News, and Other Forms of Comedy (US, UK, & Intl)

Pimpernel Smith said:
Thought the leak was just an opinion? How can they ban abortion, do you really think the USA will go back to an era of back street abortions with metal coat hangers and shit? Can't see it myself.

Late term abortions, for non medical reasons, I find abhorrent. That is killing life.
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Pretty much. It’s a trip to Mexico or ordering pills off the Internet.

If this draft reflects the final decision of the Court, expected this summer, it would virtually eliminate abortion access in Texas. Last year, the Legislature passed a so-called “trigger law” that would go into effect 30 days after the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, making performing abortion a felony.

The law would make an exception only to save the life of the pregnant patient or if they risk “substantial impairment of major bodily function.” Doctors could face life in prison and fines up to $100,000 if they perform abortions in violation of the law.
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www.texastribune.org

If Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, Texas will completely ban abortion

Politico said it obtained a draft Supreme Court majority opinion indicating the landmark abortion ruling will be overturned. Abortion is still legal in Texas up to six weeks of pregnancy.
www.texastribune.org www.texastribune.org

This is a HUGE gift to state and fed Dems right before the midterms, which will now be a referendum on abortion and not Joe Biden or the economy.
 
Yes. Let's vote out of anger and hatred of the other party/guy. Because bipartisanship and co-operation to collaborate for a better future for everyone wasn't promised in January 2021.

The whole logic about how can some men dictate the rights of women is absurd too. Should we start mandating all gynecologists are women? After all only women would truly know about women.
 
Dropbear said:
Pretty much. It’s a trip to Mexico or ordering pills off the Internet.



www.texastribune.org

If Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, Texas will completely ban abortion

Politico said it obtained a draft Supreme Court majority opinion indicating the landmark abortion ruling will be overturned. Abortion is still legal in Texas up to six weeks of pregnancy.
www.texastribune.org www.texastribune.org

This is a HUGE gift to state and Federal Dems right before the midterms, which will now be a referendum on abortion and not Joe Biden.
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Is it though? That's the way the Dems have framed it and deliberately so.
 
Pimpernel Smith said:
Is it though? That's the way the Dems have framed it and deliberately so.
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The Republicans have been campaigning on overturning Roe via Supreme Court nominations for 30+ years. This is nothing new, but now it will be the primary issue driving voters to the polls. It’s a gift for the Dems, who have been floundering. Now they have a popular cause to campaign on. They can turn the national spotlight onto SC reforms and start promising that a Dem Congress will legalize abortion.

www.vox.com

The end of Roe could be a double-edged sword for Republicans

Gutting abortion rights might not boost the GOP in the midterms.
www.vox.com www.vox.com
 
Dropbear said:
The Republicans have been campaigning on overturning Roe via Supreme Court nominations for 30+ years. This is nothing new, but now it will be the primary issue driving voters to the polls. It’s a gift for the Dems, who have been floundering. Now they have a popular cause to campaign on. They can turn the national spotlight onto SC reforms and start promising that a Dem Congress will legalize abortion.

www.vox.com

The end of Roe could be a double-edged sword for Republicans

Gutting abortion rights might not boost the GOP in the midterms.
www.vox.com www.vox.com
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It gives them something to talk about. But as you said, republicans have been campaigning on this for 30 years, and few people are going to change their mind on the issue. So, I just don’t see it having a large impact. Arguably a large part of why Trump won in 2016 is because he promised to put conservative judges on the courts. I just don’t see someone who would have voted Trump/republics post-Trump changing their minds because of this decision. I think the effects will be very marginal, especially given inflation and what not which is all likely to get worse before it gets better. Plus, this getting leaked a month early will just give people more time to lose interest before the election.
 
Ciociaro said:
It gives them something to talk about. But as you said, republicans have been campaigning on this for 30 years, and few people are going to change their mind on the issue. So, I just don’t see it having a large impact. Arguably a large part of why Trump won in 2016 is because he promised to put conservative judges on the courts. I just don’t see someone who would have voted Trump/republics post-Trump changing their minds because of this decision. I think the effects will be very marginal, especially given inflation and what not which is all likely to get worse before it gets better. Plus, this getting leaked a month early will just give people more time to lose interest before the election.
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Its a no-brainer to campaign on, but how much it affects the election outcome is anyone’s guess:

FA380EE4-508E-41A8-A4A7-835328E35B7B.png


Versus:


www.cnn.com

More bad news for Biden: More Americans are blaming him for the state of the economy | CNN Politics

The story of public opinion ahead of the 2022 midterms is an easy one to understand: "It's the economy, stupid," and unless the economy improves, President Joe Biden and the Democrats are in major trouble, Harry Enten writes.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
 
Dropbear said:
Its a no-brainer to campaign on, but how much it affects the election outcome is anyone’s guess:

View attachment 43473

Versus:


www.cnn.com

More bad news for Biden: More Americans are blaming him for the state of the economy | CNN Politics

The story of public opinion ahead of the 2022 midterms is an easy one to understand: "It's the economy, stupid," and unless the economy improves, President Joe Biden and the Democrats are in major trouble, Harry Enten writes.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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True. Though, it is worth pointing out: while if you ask americans whether they want to overturn the results are as you say, but if you describe the actual policy without saying “roe” people favor more restriction than roe allows. In fact more than 50% support a ban after 15 weeks, which is ecactly what dobbs was about….
 
Fwiffo said:
www.bbc.com

Election results 2022: Boris Johnson admits tough losses for Tories

The Conservatives lose nearly 500 council seats, while the Lib Dems make big gains in southern England.
www.bbc.com

Voters using this chance to punish the behaviour of the PM and his cabinet?

Or Labour is finally regaining momentum.
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Starmer made no ground in the former Labour heartlands and he's on a very sticky wicket with his own Durham Police Beergate investigation now commencing.

Labour is gaining no momentum outside of the metropolis. Not good enough by far.

Talk of a hung parliament based on these results are premature.
 
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Grand Potentate said:
www.theguardian.com

Sinn Féin set to be largest party in Northern Ireland assembly

Michelle O’Neill likely to be first minister after party tops first-preference votes with 29%
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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The agreement there is power sharing...

There's no real breakthrough power wise for Sinn Feinn, as The Guardian states ''Unionists sought comfort in the fact that overall support for unionist parties marginally outweighed support for nationalist parties. Opinion polls show solid support for Northern Ireland remaining in the UK.''

The real issue from the election is that the DUP is haemorrhaging votes to more right wing and extreme parties.
 
www.bbc.com

Ukraine bid to join EU will take decades says Macron

The French leader suggests other ways the EU can help Ukraine, other than fast tracking its membership.
www.bbc.com

That's inspiring.

"In a speech to the EU's parliament in Strasbourg, he instead suggested Ukraine could join a 'parallel European community' while it awaited a decision.

This would allow non-EU members to join Europe's security architecture in other ways, said President Macron."

EU junior.

The *real* EU.

Purgatory before you get into the EU.
 
Grand Potentate said:
jacobinmag.com

I’m a Socialist, and I Just Beat the Labour Party in London’s Poorest Borough

In London’s poorest borough, I ran as an open socialist against the Labour Party to become mayor — and I won. Despite Labour’s conservative turn, the Left can win like I did: by going on the offensive.
jacobinmag.com jacobinmag.com

for the brits
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It didn't end well last time for the self-confessed socialist:

www.bbc.com

Tower Hamlets election fraud mayor Lutfur Rahman removed from office

An east London mayor is removed from office and a poll declared void after he is found guilty of electoral fraud.
www.bbc.com
 
www.nbcnews.com

Justice Clarence Thomas says abortion leak has changed Supreme Court

He described the leak as an unthinkable breach of trust while speaking at a conference Friday evening in Dallas.
www.nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com

“When you lose that trust, especially in the institution that I’m in, it changes the institution fundamentally. You begin to look over your shoulder. It’s like kind of an infidelity that you can explain it, but you can’t undo it,”

Speaking of fidelity….

www.msnbc.com

Ginni Thomas’ text messages to White House intensify controversy

While Ginni Thomas pressed the White House to overturn the election, and Team Trump pursued legal strategies, Clarence Thomas ruled on related cases.
www.msnbc.com www.msnbc.com
 
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